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Heading into 2026, investors are grappling with a market environment that is as perplexing as any we’ve seen in recent history. Both risk assets (stocks) and traditional safe haven assets (bonds and gold) have performed well this past year. At the same time, we’re seeing divergences in both financial markets and the real economy that […]
Heading into 2026, investors are grappling with a market environment that is as perplexing as any we’ve seen in recent history. Both risk assets (stocks) and traditional safe haven assets (bonds and gold) have performed well this past year. At the same time, we’re seeing divergences in both financial markets and the real economy that […]
As we embark on a new year, we continue to advise clients to position portfolios more conservatively to match today’s market realities. That may be difficult given the temptation to ride a stock market that has been on a long winning streak. But it is when investor sentiment is strong and asset valuations are rich […]
Clifford Swan
In early April, with the onset of a major shift in U.S. trade policy, global financial market volatility increased materially. The U.S. Treasury and currency markets saw unusual trading activity, which spilled into the stock market. In the ensuing days, a stream of reports and articles began questioning the credibility of the U.S. dollar (USD) […]
Kevin J. Cavanaugh
“It is waiting that helps you as an investor, and a lot of people just can’t stand to wait.” – Charlie Munger In the investment field like many other undertakings in life, activity does not equal achievement. During periods of significant change, investors may be better served by stepping back, assessing risks and possible outcomes before changing […]
Kevin J. Cavanaugh
“The real trouble with this world of ours is not that it is an unreasonable world, nor that it is a reasonable one. The commonest kind of trouble is that it is nearly reasonable, but not quite. Life is not an illogicality; yet it is a trap for logicians. It looks just a little more […]
Kevin J. Cavanaugh
The economic and financial market backdrops are changing, and the news headlines have been quite disconcerting. After averaging gains of 20% for the previous three years, the stock market is experiencing a correction, with the S&P 500 Index down about 10% year-to-date. Some corrective market action was to be expected and a healthy tonic for […]
Kevin J. Cavanaugh
Two features define the current economic and financial market backdrop. The first and most obvious is the significant increase in government involvement in both areas. Second, and as a direct result of the first, the world is awash in liquidity. By liquidity we mean that cheap money is available to almost anyone who seeks it, […]
Kevin J. CavanaughNext Up
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